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TypeConference Paper
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Year2010
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Author(s)
Gruhler, Karin and Deilmann, Clemens -
URL
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ID
1272732
Despite all strategies for enhancing resource efficiency, per capita material stock is increasing - Housing stock and building material flows in Germany 2050
After the Second World War, housing construction in East and West Germany developed differently in volume and structure. Housing stock in the two parts of the country still differs in age and building structure and in occupied floor area. After 1990, population figures in East Germany fell while building activity thrived, leading to growing housing vacancies. In West Germany, by contrast, construction proceeded in step with the high increase in the population (Banse, Effenberger 2006). Up to 2050, according to the Federal Statistical Office, the population can be expected to develop very differently in East and West Germany. This will affect the housing stock and hence the resources and land utilization provoked by changes and adjustments (rehabilitation, demolition, development). With the aid of the “material flow model” developed at the IOER, material flows and land consumption caused by demographic change are defined and shown in the form of scenarios. The studies discussed show the quantities of material incorporated into East and West German housing stock, the material flows needed to adapt housing stock to demographic developments, and whether these developments enhance the resource efficiency of housing material stock.
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